Sep 30, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $81.5K
bid 0.7% · ask 1.4%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Ladder
- Date ladder
- Open
- 2 markets
- Liquidity
- $145.6K
- Closes
Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.
The ladder
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- Dec 31, 2027
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $65.7K
bid 5.0% · ask 6.0%
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