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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Category
Business
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
12 markets
Liquidity
$766.1K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Anthropic

    Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $118K
    58.4%

    bid 57.7% · ask 59.0%

  2. SpaceX

    Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $24.1K
    39.0%

    bid 38.0% · ask 40.0%

  3. OpenAI

    Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $16.9K
    1.6%

    bid 1.3% · ask 1.9%

  4. ByteDance

    Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $34.1K
    0.1%
  5. Databricks

    Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $23.3K
    0.1%
  6. Discord

    Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $80.8K
    0.1%
  7. Kraken

    Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $93K
    0.1%
  8. Perplexity AI

    Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $85.2K
    0.1%
  9. Revolut

    Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $86K
    0.1%
  10. SHEIN

    Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $76.4K
    0.1%
  11. Stripe

    Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $43.4K
    0.1%
  12. Waymo

    Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $83.7K
    0.1%

Publish a claim

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Pick the narrowest step you actually believe in: the lower its price, the more a correct call is worth, and the more a wrong one costs.

Write what you know. The market price at that second is locked into the record with a timestamp and a hash, and nothing can be edited afterwards, only added to.

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Threads

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