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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Category
Geopolitics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
20 markets
Liquidity
$1.8M
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Yulia Navalnaya

    Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $69.6K
    7.5%

    bid 7.0% · ask 8.0%

  2. UNRWA

    Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $69.7K
    4.8%

    bid 4.6% · ask 4.9%

  3. Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $93.5K
    4.0%

    bid 3.8% · ask 4.1%

  4. International Court of Justice

    Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $53.2K
    3.4%

    bid 3.0% · ask 3.8%

  5. Pope Leo XIV

    Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $62.5K
    2.6%

    bid 2.4% · ask 2.8%

  6. Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

    Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $86.9K
    1.9%

    bid 1.7% · ask 2.1%

  7. Donald Trump

    Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $354.4K
    1.6%

    bid 1.6% · ask 1.7%

  8. Greta Thunberg

    Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $71.7K
    1.4%

    bid 1.2% · ask 1.5%

  9. Narendra Modi

    Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $80K
    1.3%

    bid 1.2% · ask 1.3%

  10. Ahmed al-Sharaa

    Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $49.6K
    1.1%

    bid 1.1% · ask 1.2%

  11. Julian Assange

    Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $52.6K
    1.1%

    bid 1.1% · ask 1.2%

  12. António Guterres

    Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $58.8K
    0.8%

    bid 0.7% · ask 0.8%

  13. Xi Jinping

    Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $82.4K
    0.6%

    bid 0.5% · ask 0.6%

  14. Benjamin Netanyahu

    Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $84.3K
    0.3%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.4%

  15. Charlie Kirk

    Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $94.5K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

  16. Khaled Mashal

    Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $69.3K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

  17. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

    Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $53.2K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

  18. Elon Musk

    Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $103.2K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  19. Mohammed bin Salman

    Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $100.3K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  20. Vladimir Putin

    Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $98.7K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

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