OpenAI's Astra released on...?

Category: Business
Ladder: Date ladder
Open: 29 markets
Liquidity: $63.6K
Closes: in 27d

Catalog updated 3m ago. Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

Sep 3, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
Closes
in 25m
Liquidity
$17.7K
8.3%
bid 5.9% · ask 10.8%
Sep 4, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?
Closes
in 1d
Liquidity
$2.5K
36.3%
bid 33.1% · ask 39.4%
Sep 5, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?
Closes
in 2d
Liquidity
$4.6K
11.9%
bid 5.1% · ask 18.8%
Spread too wide to claim
Sep 6, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?
Closes
in 3d
Liquidity
$3.5K
7.5%
bid 4.0% · ask 11.0%
Sep 7, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?
Closes
in 4d
Liquidity
$1.7K
17.8%
bid 1.9% · ask 33.7%
Spread too wide to claim
Sep 8, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 8, 2026?
Closes
in 5d
Liquidity
$1.8K
20.4%
bid 16.2% · ask 24.7%
Sep 9, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?
Closes
in 6d
Liquidity
$1.9K
1.6%
bid 0.2% · ask 3.1%
Sep 10, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 10, 2026?
Closes
in 7d
Liquidity
$1.7K
15.9%
bid 0.4% · ask 31.4%
Spread too wide to claim
Sep 11, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 11, 2026?
Closes
in 8d
Liquidity
$2K
0.7%
bid 0.3% · ask 1.0%
Sep 12, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 12, 2026?
Closes
in 9d
Liquidity
$2.2K
0.5%
bid 0.1% · ask 0.9%
Sep 13, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 13, 2026?
Closes
in 10d
Liquidity
$986.1
0.4%
Sep 14, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 14, 2026?
Closes
in 11d
Liquidity
$882
0.4%
Sep 15, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 15, 2026?
Closes
in 12d
Liquidity
$1K
0.3%
Sep 16, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 16, 2026?
Closes
in 13d
Liquidity
$1K
0.4%
Sep 17, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 17, 2026?
Closes
in 14d
Liquidity
$1.4K
19.3%
bid 0.1% · ask 38.4%
Spread too wide to claim
Sep 18, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 18, 2026?
Closes
in 15d
Liquidity
$979.8
0.4%
Sep 19, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 19, 2026?
Closes
in 16d
Liquidity
$840.4
0.4%
Sep 20, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 20, 2026?
Closes
in 17d
Liquidity
$1K
0.4%
Sep 21, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 21, 2026?
Closes
in 18d
Liquidity
$1.6K
0.4%
Sep 22, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 22, 2026?
Closes
in 19d
Liquidity
$975.4
0.4%
Sep 23, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 23, 2026?
Closes
in 20d
Liquidity
$941.1
0.4%
Sep 24, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 24, 2026?
Closes
in 21d
Liquidity
$706.6
22.0%
Sep 25, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 25, 2026?
Closes
in 22d
Liquidity
$1.1K
0.3%
Sep 26, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 26, 2026?
Closes
in 23d
Liquidity
$1.1K
0.4%
Sep 27, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 27, 2026?
Closes
in 24d
Liquidity
$1K
0.1%
Sep 28, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 28, 2026?
Closes
in 25d
Liquidity
$1.2K
0.3%
Sep 29, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 29, 2026?
Closes
in 26d
Liquidity
$1K
0.4%
Sep 30, 2026
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 30, 2026?
Closes
in 27d
Liquidity
$961.1
0.4%
Sep 30, 2026
Will there be no OpenAI Astra model release by September 30, 2026?
Closes
in 27d
Liquidity
$5.3K
2.5%
bid 0.2% · ask 4.9%

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