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Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Category
Business
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
10 markets
Liquidity
$198.9K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Elon Musk

    Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $17.5K
    96.0%

    bid 94.9% · ask 97.0%

  2. Warren Buffett

    Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $15.7K
    1.0%

    bid 0.7% · ask 1.3%

  3. Jeff Bezos

    Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $18K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.4%

  4. Mark Zuckerberg

    Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $23.4K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.4%

  5. Bernard Arnault

    Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $19K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

  6. Jensen Huang

    Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $23.8K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

  7. Larry Ellison

    Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $22.7K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

  8. Sergey Brin

    Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $16.7K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

  9. Steve Ballmer

    Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $24.7K
    0.3%

    bid 0.2% · ask 0.3%

  10. Larry Page

    Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $17.4K
    0.2%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.3%

Publish a claim

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Pick the narrowest step you actually believe in: the lower its price, the more a correct call is worth, and the more a wrong one costs.

Write what you know. The market price at that second is locked into the record with a timestamp and a hash, and nothing can be edited afterwards, only added to.

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Threads

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No public claims on this event yet.

Claims appear here once their delay expires.

Publish the first one