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Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Category
Geopolitics
Ladder
Date ladder
Open
5 markets
Liquidity
$71.7K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Sep 30, 2026

    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $15K
    19.0%

    bid 17.0% · ask 21.0%

  2. Oct 15, 2026

    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $1.7K
    33.0%

    bid 27.0% · ask 39.0%

    Spread too wide to claim

  3. Oct 31, 2026

    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $1.7K
    40.5%

    bid 34.0% · ask 47.0%

    Spread too wide to claim

  4. Nov 30, 2026

    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $2.7K
    54.0%

    bid 39.0% · ask 69.0%

    Spread too wide to claim

  5. Dec 31, 2027

    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $50.3K
    50.5%

    bid 50.0% · ask 51.0%

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