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What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

Category
Business
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
8 markets
Liquidity
$52.5K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. $1.25T–$1.5T

    Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $6.4K
    21.1%

    bid 21.0% · ask 21.2%

  2. $1.5T–$1.75T

    Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $6.5K
    19.1%

    bid 18.9% · ask 19.3%

  3. $1.75T–$2.0T

    Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $5K
    18.0%

    bid 17.0% · ask 19.0%

  4. $1.0T–$1.25T

    Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $8.2K
    10.0%

    bid 9.0% · ask 11.0%

  5. $2.5T+

    Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $7.4K
    9.7%

    bid 9.1% · ask 10.3%

  6. <$1T

    Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $10.8K
    7.3%

    bid 7.0% · ask 7.7%

  7. $2.25T–$2.5T

    Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $5.7K
    5.2%

    bid 2.8% · ask 7.5%

  8. $2.0T–$2.25T

    Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $2.8K
    4.0%

    bid 3.7% · ask 4.3%

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