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Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Category
Geopolitics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
16 markets
Liquidity
$293.7K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Lebanon

    Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $11.7K
    10.5%

    bid 9.0% · ask 12.0%

  2. Venezuela

    Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13K
    9.5%

    bid 9.0% · ask 10.0%

  3. Indonesia

    Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $14.8K
    8.5%

    bid 8.0% · ask 9.0%

  4. Kuwait

    Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $16.7K
    6.5%

    bid 6.0% · ask 7.0%

  5. Tunisia

    Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $15.9K
    6.5%

    bid 6.0% · ask 7.0%

  6. Iraq

    Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $18.2K
    5.2%

    bid 4.6% · ask 5.8%

  7. Syria

    Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $15.4K
    5.0%

    bid 4.0% · ask 6.0%

  8. Qatar

    Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $20.1K
    4.8%

    bid 4.7% · ask 4.9%

  9. Pakistan

    Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $15.8K
    4.5%

    bid 4.0% · ask 5.0%

  10. Saudi Arabia

    Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $21.4K
    4.5%

    bid 4.0% · ask 5.0%

  11. North Korea

    Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $20.4K
    4.5%

    bid 4.4% · ask 4.5%

  12. Cuba

    Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $25.4K
    4.3%

    bid 4.2% · ask 4.3%

  13. Iran

    Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $20.4K
    4.3%

    bid 4.2% · ask 4.3%

  14. Bangladesh

    Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $21.2K
    4.0%

    bid 4.0% · ask 4.1%

  15. Malaysia

    Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $23.1K
    3.9%

    bid 3.8% · ask 3.9%

  16. Afghanistan

    Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $21.7K
    3.8%

    bid 3.7% · ask 3.8%

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