Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Category: Geopolitics
Ladder: Candidate ladder
Open: 17 markets
Liquidity: $154.9K
Closes: Jan 1, 2027

Catalog updated 2m ago. Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

Japan
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$9.3K
21.5%
bid 20.0% · ask 23.0%
Israel
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$2.1K
19.0%
bid 14.0% · ask 24.0%
Mexico
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$908.2
18.5%
bid 12.0% · ask 25.0%
Spread too wide to claim
India
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$12K
17.5%
bid 17.0% · ask 18.0%
Indonesia
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$11.2K
14.5%
bid 14.0% · ask 15.0%
South Africa
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$9.6K
12.5%
bid 10.0% · ask 15.0%
Vietnam
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$11.2K
12.5%
bid 9.0% · ask 16.0%
Taiwan
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$14.6K
12.2%
bid 9.3% · ask 15.1%
South Korea
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$16K
12.2%
bid 10.0% · ask 14.3%
Canada
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$14K
12.0%
bid 10.0% · ask 14.0%
Argentina
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$10.1K
11.5%
bid 9.0% · ask 14.0%
United Kingdom
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$10.5K
10.5%
bid 8.0% · ask 13.0%
Pakistan
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$9.8K
10.0%
bid 7.0% · ask 13.0%
Russia
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$2.3K
10.0%
bid 7.0% · ask 13.0%
Brazil
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$1.6K
8.8%
bid 5.8% · ask 11.7%
Australia
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$9.8K
8.5%
bid 6.0% · ask 11.0%
European Union
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity
$10K
6.2%
bid 2.8% · ask 9.5%

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