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Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Category
Culture
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
4 markets
Liquidity
$106.7K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Avengers: Doomsday

    Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $17.1K
    56.5%

    bid 56.0% · ask 57.0%

  2. Spider-Man: Brand New Day

    Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.9K
    45.5%

    bid 45.0% · ask 46.0%

  3. Dune: Messiah

    Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $26.6K
    0.1%

    bid 0.1% · ask 0.2%

  4. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

    Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $50K
    0.1%

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