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Events from Polymarket. Each one is a ladder: the tighter the step you commit to, the lower the price, and the more a correct call is worth.

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13 events

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

CultureCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $2.7M
Open: 14 markets
Claims: 0

Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?93.5%
Avengers: Doomsday · Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?5.5%
Dune: Messiah · Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?0.3%
The Odyssey · Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?0.1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie · Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?0.1%

and 9 more markets →

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Culture

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $591.9K
Open: 1 market
Claims: 0

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?1.4%

TIME Person of the Year 2026

CultureCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $547.5K
Open: 22 markets
Claims: 0

Zohran Mamdani · Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?32.5%
Pope Leo XIV · Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?15.5%
Donald Trump · Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?10.5%
Benjamin Netanyahu · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?7.0%
Artificial Intelligence · Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?6.5%

and 17 more markets →

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look on week 1?

CultureThreshold ladder

Closes: in 1h
Liquidity: $230.7K
Open: 12 markets
Claims: 0

20 · Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?0.2%
40 · Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get at least 40 million views on week 1?0.1%
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?95.0%
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?4.8%
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?0.1%

and 7 more markets →

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

CultureCandidate ladder

Closes: Mar 14, 2027
Liquidity: $202.5K
Open: 22 markets
Claims: 0

The Odyssey · Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?54.5%
Dune: Part Three · Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?15.5%
La Bola Negra · Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?12.0%
Wild Horse Nine · Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?8.0%
Fjord · Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?6.0%

and 17 more markets →

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

CultureCandidate ladder

Closes: Mar 14, 2027
Liquidity: $197.4K
Open: 18 markets
Claims: 0

Matt Damon · Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?26.5%
John Malkovich · Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?23.1%
Tom Cruise · Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?22.5%
Andrew Scott · Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?15.5%
Robert Pattinson · Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?8.9%

and 13 more markets →

Top Spotify Artist 2026

CultureCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $175.2K
Open: 10 markets
Claims: 0

Bad Bunny · Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?83.0%
Drake · Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?9.8%
Taylor Swift · Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?5.2%
Bruno Mars · Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?2.4%
Beyoncé · Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?0.3%

and 5 more markets →

Next James Bond actor?

CultureCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $160.4K
Open: 24 markets
Claims: 0

No Bond chosen · No one announced as next James Bond?27.6%
Callum Turner · Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?16.5%
Jack Barton · Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?14.6%
Jack Lowden · Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?11.8%
Jacob Elordi · Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?6.1%

and 19 more markets →

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

CultureDate ladder

Closes: Apr 1, 2027
Liquidity: $134.3K
Open: 2 markets
Claims: 0

Dec 31, 2026 · New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? 3.5%
Mar 31, 2027 · New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027?6.5%

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

CultureCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $104.6K
Open: 4 markets
Claims: 0

Avengers: Doomsday · Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?56.5%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?45.5%
Dune: Messiah · Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?0.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?0.1%

Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

CultureCandidate ladder

Closes: in 51d
Liquidity: $66K
Open: 18 markets
Claims: 0

Ukraine · Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026?21.0%
France · Will France win Junior Eurovision 2026?19.2%
North Macedonia · Will North Macedonia win Junior Eurovision 2026?19.0%
Armenia · Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?17.0%
Cyprus · Will Cyprus win Junior Eurovision 2026?14.8%

and 13 more markets →

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

CultureCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $56.1K
Open: 5 markets
Claims: 0

Avengers: Doomsday · Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?65.0%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?35.5%
Dune: Messiah · Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?0.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?0.1%
Toy Story 5 · Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening week in 2026?0.1%

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

CultureCandidate ladder

Closes: Nov 30, 2026
Liquidity: $55.1K
Open: 23 markets
Claims: 0

Other (Season Cancelled) · Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?89.5%
Doug Mason · Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?4.0%
Johnnie LaRossa · Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?0.9%
Ronn Perez · Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22?0.7%
Shane Parton · Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?0.5%

and 18 more markets →

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