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Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Category
Geopolitics
Ladder
Candidate ladder
Open
10 markets
Liquidity
$142.5K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting. Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries. An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed. A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

The ladder

The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.

  1. Alibaba

    Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.2K
    17.5%

    bid 17.0% · ask 18.0%

  2. Hesai

    Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13K
    17.5%

    bid 17.0% · ask 18.0%

  3. Tencent

    Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $11.6K
    15.5%

    bid 15.0% · ask 16.0%

  4. Baidu

    Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $12.1K
    15.0%

    bid 14.0% · ask 16.0%

  5. CXMT

    Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.5K
    14.5%

    bid 14.0% · ask 15.0%

  6. BYD

    Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.6K
    13.5%

    bid 13.0% · ask 14.0%

  7. Unitree

    Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $13.7K
    13.5%

    bid 13.0% · ask 14.0%

  8. CATL

    Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $17.2K
    13.0%

    bid 12.0% · ask 14.0%

  9. YMTC

    Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $15.7K
    12.0%

    bid 11.0% · ask 13.0%

  10. DJI

    Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $19.6K
    10.5%

    bid 10.0% · ask 11.0%

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