Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $59.6K
bid 7.0% · ask 8.0%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Open
- 1 market
- Liquidity
- $58.2K
- Closes
Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.
The ladder
The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.
Publish a claim
Wallet only. No email, no IP logs.
Pick the narrowest step you actually believe in: the lower its price, the more a correct call is worth, and the more a wrong one costs.
Write what you know. The market price and time are locked into the record by the server, and nothing can be edited afterwards, only added to.
Connect walletThreads
One thread per forecaster. Nothing is edited, only added to.
No public claims on this event yet.
Claims appear here once their delay expires.
Publish the first one