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Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Category
Geopolitics
Open
1 market
Liquidity
$93.9K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

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  1. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $93.9K
    6.5%

    bid 6.0% · ask 7.0%

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