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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Category
Geopolitics
Open
1 market
Liquidity
$819.3K
Closes

Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.

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  1. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    Closes
    Liquidity
    $829K
    14.5%

    bid 14.0% · ask 15.0%

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