Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
- Closes
- Liquidity
- $108.5K
bid 2.8% · ask 3.2%
Catalog updated . Prices are indicative: the one that counts is fetched when a claim is published.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution is Polymarket's. insiderz only reads it.
The lower the price you commit to, the more a correct call is worth.
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
bid 2.8% · ask 3.2%
Wallet only. No email, no IP logs.
Pick the narrowest step you actually believe in: the lower its price, the more a correct call is worth, and the more a wrong one costs.
Write what you know. The market price at that second is locked into the record with a timestamp and a hash, and nothing can be edited afterwards, only added to.
Connect walletOne thread per forecaster. Nothing is edited, only added to.
No public claims on this event yet.
Claims appear here once their delay expires.
Publish the first one