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Iran leadership change by...?

GeopoliticsCierra Actualizado

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket lo resuelve. insiderz solo lee el resultado.

Mercados

Cuanto menos probable crea el mercado que sea, más cuenta una call acertada.

  1. 30 sept 2026 · Iran leadership change by September 30?

    Cierra

    2,4%
  2. 31 oct 2026 · Iran leadership change by October 31?

    Cierra

    5,5%
  3. 30 nov 2026 · Iran leadership change by November 30?

    Cierra

    8,5%
  4. 30 jun 2027 · Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

    Cierra

    25,0%
  5. 31 dic 2027 · Iran leadership change by December 31?

    Cierra

    14,5%

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