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Iran leadership change by...?

GeopoliticsFecha Atualizado

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

A Polymarket resolve. A insiderz apenas lê o resultado.

Mercados

Quanto menos provável o mercado considerar o resultado, mais vale uma call certa.

  1. 30 de set. de 2026 · Iran leadership change by September 30?

    Fecha

    2,4%
  2. 31 de out. de 2026 · Iran leadership change by October 31?

    Fecha

    5,5%
  3. 30 de nov. de 2026 · Iran leadership change by November 30?

    Fecha

    8,5%
  4. 30 de jun. de 2027 · Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

    Fecha

    25,0%
  5. 31 de dez. de 2027 · Iran leadership change by December 31?

    Fecha

    14,5%

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