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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

PoliticsClôture Mis à jour

Règles de résolution

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Polymarket décide du résultat. insiderz se contente de le lire.

Marchés

Moins le marché juge le résultat probable, plus un call qui a vu juste compte.

  1. Éric Zemmour · Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    87,0%

  2. Dominique de Villepin · Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    60,5%

    Prix trop instable pour le moment

  3. François Hollande · Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    54,0%

    Prix trop instable pour le moment

  4. Bernard Cazeneuve · Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    52,5%

  5. Yaël Braun-Pivet · Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    9,7%

  6. Michel Barnier · Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    9,5%

  7. Sébastien Lecornu · Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    9,5%

  8. Jordan Bardella · Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    8,0%

  9. Manuel Bompard · Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    7,5%

  10. Valérie Pécresse · Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    5,6%

  11. Élisabeth Borne · Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    5,4%

  12. Mathilde Panot · Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    4,9%

  13. Carole Delga · Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    4,5%

  14. François Bayrou · Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    3,5%

  15. Gérald Darmanin · Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    3,3%

  16. Jean Castex · Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Clôture

    2,8%

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