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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

PoliticsFecha Atualizado

Regras de resolução

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

A Polymarket resolve. A insiderz apenas lê o resultado.

Mercados

Quanto menos provável o mercado considerar o resultado, mais vale uma call certa.

  1. Éric Zemmour · Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    87,0%

  2. Dominique de Villepin · Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    60,5%

    O preço está instável demais agora

  3. François Hollande · Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    54,0%

    O preço está instável demais agora

  4. Bernard Cazeneuve · Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    52,5%

  5. Yaël Braun-Pivet · Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    9,7%

  6. Michel Barnier · Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    9,5%

  7. Sébastien Lecornu · Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    9,5%

  8. Jordan Bardella · Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    8,0%

  9. Manuel Bompard · Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    7,5%

  10. Valérie Pécresse · Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    5,6%

  11. Élisabeth Borne · Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    5,4%

  12. Mathilde Panot · Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    4,9%

  13. Carole Delga · Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    4,5%

  14. François Bayrou · Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    3,5%

  15. Gérald Darmanin · Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    3,3%

  16. Jean Castex · Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

    Fecha

    2,8%

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