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How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

GeopoliticsFecha Atualizado

Regras de resolução

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

A Polymarket resolve. A insiderz apenas lê o resultado.

Mercados

Quanto menos provável o mercado considerar o resultado, mais vale uma call certa.

  1. <35 · Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

    Fecha

    92,5%

  2. 35–44 · Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

    Fecha

    3,2%

  3. 45–54 · Will New People (NL) win between 45 and 54 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

    Fecha

    2,8%

  4. 55–64 · Will New People (NL) win between 55 and 64 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

    Fecha

    1,9%

  5. 65–74 · Will New People (NL) win between 65 and 74 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

    Fecha

    1,8%

  6. 75–84 · Will New People (NL) win between 75 and 84 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

    Fecha

    1,8%

  7. 85+ · Will New People (NL) win 85 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

    Fecha

    1,6%

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