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169 eventos

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • United Russia (ER) · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?68,5%
  • New People (NL) · Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?25,6%
  • Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?4,5%
  • Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) · Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?1,3%
  • Yabloko · Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0,3%
  • A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) · Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0,2%
+2 a mais

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • Gadi Eizenkot · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?49,1%
  • Benjamin Netanyahu · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?30,5%
  • Naftali Bennett · Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?8,5%
  • Avigdor Lieberman · Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?4,3%
  • Ofer Winter · Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?2,4%
  • Yair Golan · Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0,8%
+13 a mais

Iran leader end of 2026?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • Mojtaba Khamenei · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?84,0%
  • No Head of State · Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?4,7%
  • Reza Pahlavi · Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?3,5%
  • Mahmoud Ahmadinejad · Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?1,7%
  • Alireza Arafi · Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?1,5%
  • Ahmad Vahidi · Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?0,7%
+24 a mais

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • Yulia Navalnaya · Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?7,5%
  • UNRWA · Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?4,8%
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy · Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?3,8%
  • International Court of Justice · Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?3,5%
  • Pope Leo XIV · Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2,6%
  • Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani · Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2,1%
+14 a mais

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • Nicolás Maduro · Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?82,8%
  • Delcy Rodríguez · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?10,5%
  • María Corina Machado · Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?1,8%
  • No Head of State · Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?1,0%
  • Edmundo González · Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0,4%
  • Diosdado Cabello Rondón · Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0,3%
+10 a mais

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • No Meeting by September 30 · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?91,3%
  • Switzerland · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?4,5%
  • Pakistan · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?2,6%
  • Qatar · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?1,1%
  • Oman · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?0,3%
  • Austria · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?0,2%
+13 a mais

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 30 de set. de 2026 · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?1,0%
  • 31 de dez. de 2026 · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?6,5%
  • 30 de jun. de 2027 · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?14,5%

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • United Russia (ER) · Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?98,8%
  • Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) · Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0,8%
  • New People (NL) · Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0,3%
  • Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0,2%
  • Yabloko · Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0,2%
  • A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) · Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0,1%
+2 a mais

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 7 de set. de 2026 · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?1,1%
  • 14 de set. de 2026 · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?4,5%
  • 21 de set. de 2026 · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?10,5%
  • 30 de set. de 2026 · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?19,5%
  • 31 de out. de 2026 · US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?36,5%
  • 31 de dez. de 2027 · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?60,1%

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) · Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?88,0%
  • Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?7,9%
  • New People (NL) · Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?3,8%
  • United Russia (ER) · Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0,2%
  • A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) · Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0,1%
  • Civic Platform (GP) · Will Civic Platform (GP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0,1%
+2 a mais

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 30 de set. de 2026 · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?1,0%
  • 31 de out. de 2026 · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?2,8%
  • 30 de nov. de 2026 · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?6,5%
  • 31 de dez. de 2027 · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?11,5%

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • No meeting before 2027 · Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?93,0%
  • Turkey · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?1,3%
  • Switzerland · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?1,0%
  • US · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?0,9%
  • Belarus · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?0,8%
  • China · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?0,8%
+8 a mais

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 1 de jan. de 2027 · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?0,4%
  • 1 de jan. de 2027 · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?0,8%
  • 1 de jan. de 2027 · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?0,2%
  • 1 de jan. de 2027 · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?0,5%
  • 1 de jan. de 2027 · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?1,5%
  • 1 de jan. de 2027 · Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?0,4%
+9 a mais

Iran leadership change by...?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 30 de set. de 2026 · Iran leadership change by September 30?2,4%
  • 31 de out. de 2026 · Iran leadership change by October 31?5,5%
  • 30 de nov. de 2026 · Iran leadership change by November 30?8,5%
  • 30 de jun. de 2027 · Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?25,0%
  • 31 de dez. de 2027 · Iran leadership change by December 31?14,5%

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 325–339 · Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?37,5%
  • 310–324 · Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?26,3%
  • 340–354 · Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?21,0%
  • 355+ · Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?5,5%
  • 295–309 · Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?5,5%
  • <280 · Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?3,5%
+1 a mais

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • None before 2027 · Will no listed leader be out before 2027?37,5%
  • Netanyahu - Israel PM · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?36,5%
  • Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?4,8%
  • Díaz-Canel - Cuba President · Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?3,8%
  • Zelenskyy - Ukraine President · Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?3,3%
  • Sánchez - Spanish PM · Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?3,0%
+16 a mais

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 31 de out. de 2026 · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?13,5%
  • 31 de mar. de 2027 · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?43,5%
  • 30 de jun. de 2027 · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?55,0%
  • 31 de dez. de 2027 · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?22,5%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 15 de set. de 2026 · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?0,6%
  • 30 de set. de 2026 · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?4,2%
  • 31 de out. de 2026 · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?9,0%
  • 31 de dez. de 2027 · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?15,5%

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • Iran Reconstruction Funding · Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?10,5%
  • Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) · Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?9,5%
  • 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium · Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?8,5%
  • Dilution of Iran's Uranium · Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?8,5%
  • ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) · Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?6,5%
  • Enriched Uranium Surrender · Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?5,5%

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 4 · Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?82,1%
  • 5 · Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?5,3%
  • 6 · Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?11,3%
  • 7 · Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?0,8%
  • 8 · Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?0,9%
  • 9 · Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?0,7%
+6 a mais

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 31 de out. de 2026 · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?6,5%
  • 31 de dez. de 2026 · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?16,5%

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 30 de set. de 2026 · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?8,5%
  • 31 de out. de 2026 · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?18,5%
  • 31 de dez. de 2026 · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?41,5%
  • 31 de mar. de 2027 · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?58,5%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • 30 de set. de 2026 · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?1,9%
  • 31 de dez. de 2027 · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?7,5%

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

GeopoliticsFecha 0 call

  • Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf · Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?32,5%
  • Steve Witkoff · Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?31,5%
  • Abbas Araghchi · Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?27,5%
  • Jared Kushner · Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?27,5%
  • J.D. Vance · Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?25,0%
  • Kazem Gharibabadi · Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?23,5%
+14 a mais

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