insiderz.
Connect wallet

Events

Live from Polymarket. Pick one and make your call.

Updated

169 events

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • 20-39 · Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?75.0%
  • <20 · Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?17.0%
  • 40-59 · Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?5.6%
  • 60-79 · Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?0.8%
  • 80+ · Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?0.2%

Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Wang Mei-hui · Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?78.5%
  • Chang Chi-kai · Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?18.5%
  • Huang Hung-cheng · Will Huang Hung-cheng win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?1.4%
  • Weng Shou-liang · Will Weng Shou-liang win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?1.2%
  • Chen Chia-ping · Will Chen Chia-ping win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?0.8%
  • Chen Kai-huang · Will Chen Kai-huang win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?0.7%

Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?96.4%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?2.5%
  • Communists of Russia · Will Communists of Russia win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?1.4%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?1.0%
  • Party of Pensioners · Will Party of Pensioners win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?0.8%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?0.3%
+1 more

Tver Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Vitaly Korolev · Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?97.0%
  • Tatyana Petrova · Will Tatyana Petrova win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?2.8%
  • Igor Yakovenko · Will Igor Yakovenko win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?1.5%
  • Sergey Malinkovich · Will Sergey Malinkovich win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?1.0%
  • Lyudmila Vorobyova · Will Lyudmila Vorobyova win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?0.3%
  • Olga Levina · Will Olga Levina win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?0.2%

Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Chen Su-yueh · Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?83.0%
  • Wei Ping-cheng · Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?8.5%
  • Chiu Chien-fu · Will Chiu Chien-fu win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?2.0%
  • Lin Shih-hsien · Will Lin Shih-hsien win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?0.3%
  • Huang Hsiu-fang · Will Huang Hsiu-fang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?0.3%
  • Hung Jung-chang · Will Hung Jung-chang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?0.2%

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Sep 30, 2026 · Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?4.0%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?24.5%

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Sep 15, 2026 · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?38.0%
  • Sep 30, 2026 · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?68.5%
  • Oct 31, 2026 · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?82.0%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?89.5%

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Ireland · Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?98.6%
  • Germany · Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?25.5%
  • Saudi Arabia · Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?20.0%
  • South Korea · Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?16.5%
  • Israel · Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?16.0%
  • Japan · Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?16.0%
+15 more

Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?42.0%
  • New People (NL) · Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?39.5%
  • A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) · Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?8.0%
  • Rodina · Will Rodina win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?3.5%
  • Civic Platform (GP) · Will Civic Platform (GP) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?3.4%
  • Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) · Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?1.5%
+1 more

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • <25 · Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?46.9%
  • 25-29 · Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?23.0%
  • 30-34 · Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?13.1%
  • 35-39 · Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?10.0%
  • 40+ · Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?5.0%

Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Vladislav Khovalyg · Will Vladislav Khovalyg win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?96.0%
  • Yegor Chistyakov · Will Yegor Chistyakov win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?1.5%
  • Aziat Chanzan · Will Aziat Chanzan win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?1.1%
  • Lodoy-Damba Kuular · Will Lodoy-Damba Kuular win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?1.0%
  • Artysh Irgit · Will Artysh Irgit win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?0.3%

Showing 19 of 169

First page