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Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?18.5%
  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?18.0%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?16.5%
  • Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?13.5%
  • Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?6.0%
  • Democrat 30%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 30% or more?4.5%
+2 more

PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 20-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 20%-30%?21.0%
  • Democrat 60%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 60% or more?18.0%
  • Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 35%-40%?17.0%
  • Democrat 45-50% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 45%-50%?17.0%
  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 30%-35%?12.0%
  • Democrat 0-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 0%-20%?11.5%
+4 more

MO-07 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 35-40% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 35%-40%?22.5%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 30%-35%?16.0%
  • Republican 40-45% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 40%-45%?15.5%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 25%-30%?12.5%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 20%-25%?10.5%
  • Republican 50%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 50% or more?9.5%
+4 more

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

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  • Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?3.8%
  • Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?96.3%

South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?23.5%
  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?16.5%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?14.5%
  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?9.5%
  • Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?7.0%
  • Democrat Wins · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?6.5%
+4 more

CA-33 House Election Winner

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  • Will the Republican Party win the CA-33 House seat?5.5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the CA-33 House seat?94.5%

IL-05 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 45-50% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 45%-50%?21.0%
  • Democrat 40-45% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 40%-45%?15.5%
  • Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 35%-40%?12.0%
  • Democrat 50-55% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 50%-55%?10.5%
  • Democrat 0-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 0%-20%?9.5%
  • Democrat 55-60% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 55%-60%?9.0%
+4 more

GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

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  • Democrat 40-45% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 40%-45%?15.5%
  • Democrat 45-50% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?15.5%
  • Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 35%-40%?13.0%
  • Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 30%-35%?10.5%
  • Democrat 55-60% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 55%-60%?9.9%
  • Democrat 50-55% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 50%-55%?6.7%
+4 more

OH-10 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 6%-9%?15.0%
  • Republican 9-12% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 9%-12%?13.5%
  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3%-6%?13.0%
  • Democrat 3%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3% or more?10.5%
  • Republican 12-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 12%-15%?10.5%
  • Republican 21%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 21% or more?10.5%
+4 more

FL-19 House Election Winner

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  • Will the Republican Party win the FL-19 House seat?94.5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat?5.5%

Mato Grosso Senate Election: 1st Place

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  • Mauro Mendes · Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?69.5%
  • Janaina Riva · Will Janaina Riva win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?9.1%
  • Jose Medeiros · Will Jose Medeiros win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?2.9%
  • Beny Godoy · Will Beny Godoy win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?2.2%
  • Galvan · Will Galvan win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?2.0%
  • Fávaro · Will Fávaro win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?1.8%
+4 more

NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 15%-20%?19.5%
  • Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 10%-15%?17.5%
  • Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 20%-25%?17.5%
  • Republican 5%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 5% or more?14.5%
  • Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 5%-10%?10.0%
  • Democrat 25%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 25% or more?8.5%
+2 more

CO-06 House Election Winner

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  • Will the Republican Party win the CO-06 House seat?5.5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the CO-06 House seat?94.5%

Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?24.0%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?18.5%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?15.5%
  • Republican 35-40% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?12.0%
  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?10.0%
  • Democrat Wins · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?8.7%
+5 more

IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 18-21% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 18%-21%?19.3%
  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 6%-9%?16.5%
  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 0%-3%?14.0%
  • Republican 15-18% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 15%-18%?13.5%
  • Republican 21%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 21% or more?12.0%
  • Republican 9-12% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 9%-12%?12.0%
+4 more

WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 0%-3%?16.0%
  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 3%-6%?14.5%
  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 6%-9%?14.0%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 0%-3%?13.5%
  • Republican 12%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 12% or more?11.0%
  • Democrat 3-6% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 3%-6%?10.5%
+4 more

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

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  • Dec 31, 2026 · Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?3.3%
  • Jun 30, 2027 · Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?10.5%

OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 50-55% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%?17.0%
  • Democrat 55-60% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 55%-60%?15.5%
  • Democrat 60-65% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 60%-65%?13.5%
  • Democrat 45-50% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 45%-50%?12.5%
  • Democrat 40-45% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 40%-45%?8.0%
  • Democrat 65%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 65% or more?7.8%
+4 more

CA-41 House Election Winner

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  • Will the Republican Party win the CA-41 House seat?5.5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?94.5%

TX-32 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 12-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 12%-15%?18.5%
  • Republican 15-18% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 15%-18%?15.5%
  • Republican 9-12% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 9%-12%?15.0%
  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 3%-6%?11.0%
  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 6%-9%?10.5%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 0%-3%?8.5%
+4 more

Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place

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  • Sílvia Cristina · Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?44.0%
  • Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid · Will Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?24.5%
  • Mariana Carvalho · Will Mariana Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?10.1%
  • Dr. Fernando Máximo · Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?8.4%
  • Acir Gurgacz · Will Acir Gurgacz win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?4.4%
  • Aires Mota · Will Aires Mota win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?1.1%
+4 more

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

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  • New Zealand First Party · Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?61.5%
  • Green Party · Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?36.5%
  • ACT New Zealand · Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?2.4%
  • National Party · Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?2.3%
  • Te Pāti Māori · Will Te Pāti Māori win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?0.3%
  • Labour Party · Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?0.2%

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?28.5%
  • Republican 0-3% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?15.5%
  • Republican 6-9% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?12.5%
  • Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?12.0%
  • Democrat 3-6% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?7.4%
  • Democrat 6-9% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?4.1%
+4 more

Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place

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  • Delegado Éder Mauro · Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?46.0%
  • Zequinha Marinho · Will Zequinha Marinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?26.0%
  • Celso Sabino · Will Celso Sabino win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?18.5%
  • Helder · Will Helder win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?5.1%
  • Chicão · Will Chicão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?2.5%
  • Edlaine Rodrigues · Will Edlaine Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?2.4%
+5 more

CA-46 House Election Winner

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  • Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat?5.5%
  • Will the Democratic Party win the CA-46 House seat?94.5%

Alabama Governor Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 30%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 30% or more?17.5%
  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?16.5%
  • Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?15.0%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?14.0%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?12.5%
  • Republican 5-10% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?9.5%
+2 more

São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

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  • ADI · Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?88.5%
  • MLSTP · Will MLSTP win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?8.5%
  • MDFM · Will MDFM win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?0.9%
  • Nossa Terra · Will Nossa Terra win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?0.5%
  • MCI-PS/PUN · Will MCI-PS/PUN win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?0.4%
  • Basta · Will Basta win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?0.2%
+1 more

NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 70-75% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 70%-75%?22.0%
  • Democrat 65-70% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 65%-70%?19.0%
  • Democrat 75-80% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 75%-80%?14.5%
  • Democrat 55-60% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 55%-60%?13.4%
  • Democrat 80-85% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 80%-85%?13.0%
  • Democrat 85%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 85% or more?12.5%
+4 more

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

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  • Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?16.0%
  • Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?14.0%
  • Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?14.0%
  • Democrat Wins · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?13.5%
  • Republican 5-10% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?12.5%
  • Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?10.0%
+2 more

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