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668 events

FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Democrat 0-3% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 0%-3%?25.7%
Democrat 6%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 6% or more?19.5%
Republican 15-18% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 15%-18%?19.5%
Republican 18%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 18% or more?18.0%
Republican 3-6% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 3%-6%?14.5%
Democrat 3-6% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 3%-6%?11.5%

+4 more

São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner

PoliticsCloses in 20d0 calls

MLSTP · Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?91.5%
ADI · Will ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?7.5%
Basta · Will Basta win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?0.2%
MCI-PS/PUN · Will MCI-PS/PUN win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?0.1%
MDFM · Will MDFM win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?0.1%
Nossa Terra · Will Nossa Terra win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?0.1%

+1 more

RI-02 House Election Winner

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat?4.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?95.2%

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

PoliticsCloses Nov 7, 20260 calls

Chris Hipkins · Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?50.5%
Christopher Luxon · Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?48.5%
Nicola Willis · Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?1.4%
Winston Peters · Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?1.3%
Carmel Sepuloni · Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?0.8%
David Seymour · Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?0.6%

+1 more

HI-01 House Election Winner

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?4.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-01 House seat?95.1%

Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

PoliticsCloses in 14d0 calls

AfD · Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?45.5%
CDU · Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?20.5%
Linke · Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?18.5%
Grüne · Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?18.0%
SPD · Will SPD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?0.5%
FDP · Will FDP win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?0.1%

+2 more

Pernambuco Governor Election Winner

PoliticsCloses in 28d0 calls

Raquel Lyra · Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?63.5%
João Campos · Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?37.5%
Ivan Moraes · Will Ivan Moraes win the Pernambuco Governor election?0.2%

Rhode Island Senate Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Democrat 30%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?66.5%
Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 25%-30%?17.0%
Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 20%-25%?5.0%
Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 15%-20%?1.4%
Democrat 0-5% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 0%-5%?0.9%
Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 10%-15%?0.9%

+2 more

IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Democrat 40-45% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 40%-45%?22.5%
Democrat 0-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 0%-15%?20.0%
Democrat 15-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 15%-25%?18.8%
Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 35%-40%?17.0%
Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?16.6%
Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 25%-30%?9.5%

+4 more

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

PoliticsCloses Jan 16, 20270 calls

Bola Tinubu · Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?71.5%
Peter Obi · Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?15.5%
Omoyele Sowore · Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?0.5%
Rabiu Kwankwaso · Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?0.5%
Rotimi Amaechi · Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?0.4%

ND-AL House Election Winner

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?94.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the ND-AL House seat?3.7%

TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 20%-25%?17.5%
Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 25%-30%?15.5%
Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 15%-20%?12.5%
Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 10%-15%?11.5%
Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 30%-35%?11.5%
Republican 0-10% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 0%-10%?9.0%

+3 more

AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Republican 50-55% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 50%-55%?16.0%
Republican 45-50% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 45%-50%?15.5%
Republican 55-60% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?15.5%
Republican 60-65% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?15.0%
Republican 35-45% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 35%-45%?14.5%
Republican 65-70% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 65%-70%?12.0%

+4 more

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Pete Ricketts (R) · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?69.5%
Independent · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?30.5%
Democrat · Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?0.2%

IN-02 House Election Winner

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?96.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-02 House seat?4.5%

OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Democrat 0-5% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 0%-5%?20.5%
Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 5%-10%?20.5%
Republican Wins · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election?17.5%
Democrat 30%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 30% or more?14.5%
Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?13.5%
Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?12.5%

+2 more

Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?

PoliticsCloses in 3d0 calls

40-64 · Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?46.5%
65-89 · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?25.0%
<40 · Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?19.5%
90-114 · Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?4.5%
115-139 · Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?2.1%
140-164 · Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?0.5%

+4 more

RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 25%-30%?16.0%
Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 20%-25%?15.5%
Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 30%-35%?14.0%
Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 5%-10%?13.5%
Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 10%-15%?13.0%
Democrat 35%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 35% or more?12.5%

+3 more

IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 35%-40%?18.5%
Democrat 50-55% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 50%-55%?18.5%
Democrat 0-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 0%-15%?15.5%
Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 30%-35%?15.5%
Democrat 45-50% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 45%-50%?14.9%
Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 25%-30%?14.5%

+4 more

MI-11 House Election Winner

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?2.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?96.5%

Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place

PoliticsCloses in 27d0 calls

Weverton Rocha · Will Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?39.5%
Fufuca · Will Fufuca win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?28.0%
Lahesio Bonfim · Will Lahesio Bonfim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?21.0%
Roseana Sarney · Will Roseana Sarney win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?14.5%
Eliziane Gama · Will Eliziane Gama win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?4.0%
Enilton Rodrigues · Will Enilton Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?0.9%

+5 more

MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Democrat 25-30% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 25%-30%?32.5%
Democrat 30-35% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 30%-35%?26.0%
Democrat 35-40% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 35%-40%?13.0%
Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%?12.5%
Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 15%-20%?9.5%
Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 10%-15%?5.8%

+3 more

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses 1h ago0 calls

10% · Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by less than 10%?0.1%
25% · Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?97.2%
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 20-25%?2.1%
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 15-20%?2.1%
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 10-15%?1.0%
Will another margin of victory outcome occur in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election?0.3%

NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 25%-30%?18.5%
Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?16.5%
Republican 35%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 35% or more?16.0%
Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 10%-15%?14.5%
Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?12.5%
Republican 5-10% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 5%-10%?9.5%

+3 more

MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 10%-15%?17.0%
Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 15%-20%?17.0%
Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 20%-25%?15.0%
Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 25%-30%?13.5%
Republican 5-10% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 5%-10%?10.6%
Republican 35%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 35% or more?9.2%

+3 more

TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Republican 45-50% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 45%-50%?19.0%
Republican 20-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 20%-30%?14.0%
Republican 40-45% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 40%-45%?13.3%
Republican 50-55% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 50%-55%?13.0%
Republican 55-60% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 55%-60%?11.5%
Republican 60%+ · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 60% or more?10.5%

+4 more

South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Republican 20-25% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?24.0%
Republican 15-20% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?16.5%
Republican 25-30% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?15.0%
Republican 30-35% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?10.5%
Republican 10-15% · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?7.0%
Democrat Wins · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?6.5%

+4 more

Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Democrat 20-25% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?19.5%
Democrat 10-15% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?16.5%
Democrat 5-10% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?15.5%
Democrat 30%+ · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 30% or more?15.0%
Democrat 15-20% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?11.0%
Democrat 0-5% · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?10.5%

+2 more

UT-04 House Election Winner

PoliticsCloses in 57d0 calls

Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-04 House seat?4.0%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

PoliticsCloses in 23h0 calls

Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?4.0%
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?96.2%

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