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165 events

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • 200k · Will Trump deport less than 200k people?2.0%
  • 1m · Will Trump deport more than 1m people?1.8%
  • Will Trump deport 200-300k people?0.3%
  • Will Trump deport 300-400k people?18.0%
  • Will Trump deport 400-500k people?59.5%
  • Will Trump deport 500-600k people?13.8%
+4 more

Kamchatka Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?97.0%
  • Party of Pensioners · Will Party of Pensioners win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?2.3%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?1.8%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?1.7%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?0.8%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?0.5%

Adygea Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?98.6%
  • Communists of Russia · Will Communists of Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?0.6%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?0.6%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Adygea Parliament elections?0.6%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Adygea Parliament elections?0.3%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Adygea Parliament elections?0.2%

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Sep 30, 2026 · Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?5.3%
  • Oct 31, 2026 · Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?16.5%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?26.0%

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Oct 31, 2026 · Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?2.8%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?5.5%

Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?96.6%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?2.9%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?0.5%
  • Party of Direct Democracy · Will Party of Direct Democracy win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?0.4%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?0.4%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?0.2%

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Sep 30, 2026 · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?5.2%
  • Oct 31, 2026 · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?11.5%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?41.5%

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Sep 30, 2026 · Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?72.0%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?93.5%

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Sep 30, 2026 · US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?5.5%
  • Oct 31, 2026 · US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?26.5%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?60.5%

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • 1 · Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?40.5%
  • 2 · Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?21.5%
  • 3 · Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026?10.5%
  • Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?24.5%
  • Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026?3.4%

Bryansk Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Yegor Kovalchuk · Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?95.6%
  • Alexandra Kazachkova · Will Alexandra Kazachkova win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?2.3%
  • Ruslan Titov · Will Ruslan Titov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?1.5%
  • Alexey Timoshkov · Will Alexey Timoshkov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?1.0%
  • Andrey Arkhitsky · Will Andrey Arkhitsky win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?0.5%

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • 1-100 · Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?82.0%
  • >100k · Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?8.4%
  • 101-1k · Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?5.0%
  • 1k-2.5k · Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?3.0%
  • 10k-25k · Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?1.7%
  • 2.5k-5k · Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?0.9%
+2 more

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Sep 15, 2026 · US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?2.6%
  • Sep 30, 2026 · US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?7.5%

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • 0 · Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?0.2%
  • 1 · Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?73.0%
  • 2 · Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?21.0%
  • 3 · Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?3.0%
  • 4 · Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?0.1%
  • 5 · Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?0.1%

Penza Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Oleg Melnichenko · Will Oleg Melnichenko win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?96.0%
  • Mikhail Lisin · Will Mikhail Lisin win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?2.9%
  • Pavel Kulikov · Will Pavel Kulikov win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?2.7%
  • Viktor Yeroshenko · Will Viktor Yeroshenko win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?2.5%
  • Oleg Shalyapin · Will Oleg Shalyapin win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?0.8%

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • 10 · Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?64.5%
  • 20 · Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?20.5%
  • 30 · Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?11.0%
  • 40 · Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?10.5%
  • 50 · Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?7.5%

Belgorod Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Alexander Shuvaev · Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?97.6%
  • Artyom Zotov · Will Artyom Zotov win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?0.4%
  • Valery Shevlyakov · Will Valery Shevlyakov win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?0.4%
  • Yevgeny Dryomov · Will Yevgeny Dryomov win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?0.3%
  • Vladimir Abelmazov · Will Vladimir Abelmazov win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?0.2%

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • 25-29 · Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?34.5%
  • 20-24 · Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?32.0%
  • 30-34 · Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?17.0%
  • <20 · Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?15.9%
  • 35+ · Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?4.9%

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • 20-39 · Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?74.5%
  • <20 · Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?17.0%
  • 40-59 · Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?5.3%
  • 60-79 · Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?0.8%
  • 80+ · Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?0.2%

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

GeopoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • Rebeca Grynspan · Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?32.5%
  • Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett · Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?20.4%
  • Rafael Grossi · Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?14.0%
  • María Fernanda Espinosa · Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?13.0%
  • Macky Sall · Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?7.8%
  • Michelle Bachelet · Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?3.7%
+2 more

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