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Events from Polymarket. Each one is a ladder: the tighter the step you commit to, the lower the price, and the more a correct call is worth.

Catalog updated . Ingestion runs every five minutes.

Astrakhan Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$97K
Open
6 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Astrakhan Oblast Parliament elections?96.4%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Astrakhan Oblast Parliament elections?2.3%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Astrakhan Oblast Parliament elections?0.5%
  • Party of Pensioners · Will Party of Pensioners win the next Astrakhan Oblast Parliament elections?0.5%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Astrakhan Oblast Parliament elections?0.3%
and 1 more market

Kirov Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$95.9K
Open
7 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?93.5%
  • Communists of Russia · Will Communists of Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?0.6%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?0.3%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?0.2%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?0.1%
and 2 more markets

Kursk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$95K
Open
6 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?95.3%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?2.1%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?2.0%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?1.4%
  • Party of Pensioners · Will Party of Pensioners win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?1.3%
and 1 more market

Murmansk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$93.7K
Open
6 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?96.4%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?1.5%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?1.4%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?0.9%
  • Party of Pensioners · Will Party of Pensioners win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?0.3%
and 1 more market

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Geopolitics
Closes
Liquidity
$93.5K
Open
1 market
Claims
0
  • Iran Nuke before 2027?4.3%

Chechnya Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$92.9K
Open
4 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?97.7%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?1.5%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?0.6%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?0.3%

Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$89.5K
Open
8 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections?95.8%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections?4.3%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections?0.5%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections?0.4%
  • The Greens · Will The Greens win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections?0.4%
and 3 more markets

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

GeopoliticsDate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$88.4K
Open
5 markets
Claims
0
  • Sep 7, 2026 · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?1.9%
  • Sep 14, 2026 · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?5.5%
  • Sep 21, 2026 · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?11.0%
  • Sep 30, 2026 · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?14.5%
  • Oct 31, 2026 · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?25.5%

Tyumen Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$86.3K
Open
7 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?97.1%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?0.6%
  • Communists of Russia · Will Communists of Russia win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?0.5%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?0.5%
  • Party of Pensioners · Will Party of Pensioners win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?0.5%
and 2 more markets

Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$86.1K
Open
5 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?97.3%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?2.0%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?0.1%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?0.1%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?0.1%

Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

GeopoliticsDate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$85.6K
Open
2 markets
Claims
0
  • Sep 30, 2026 · Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?94.5%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?97.4%

Vologda Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$84.9K
Open
7 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?94.3%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?1.8%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?0.8%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?0.5%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?0.3%
and 2 more markets

Orenburg Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$84.6K
Open
7 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?96.1%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?2.0%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?1.9%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?1.9%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?1.8%
and 2 more markets

Altai Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$84.2K
Open
7 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?96.9%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?0.7%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?0.6%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?0.6%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?0.5%
and 2 more markets

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

GeopoliticsThreshold ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$83.8K
Open
6 markets
Claims
0
  • 0 · Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?0.3%
  • 1 · Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?71.5%
  • 2 · Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?21.5%
  • 3 · Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?2.1%
  • 4 · Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?0.1%
and 1 more market

Amur Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$83.4K
Open
7 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Amur Oblast Parliament elections?99.0%
  • CPRF · Will CPRF win the next Amur Oblast Parliament elections?0.6%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Amur Oblast Parliament elections?0.3%
  • Communists of Russia · Will Communists of Russia win the next Amur Oblast Parliament elections?0.1%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Amur Oblast Parliament elections?0.1%
and 2 more markets

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

GeopoliticsDate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$81.6K
Open
2 markets
Claims
0
  • Oct 31, 2026 · NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?12.5%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?25.5%

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

GeopoliticsDate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$78.9K
Open
5 markets
Claims
0
  • Sep 9, 2026 · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?5.5%
  • Sep 11, 2026 · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?9.5%
  • Sep 13, 2026 · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?9.0%
  • Sep 15, 2026 · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?43.5%
  • Sep 30, 2026 · Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?82.5%

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?

GeopoliticsDate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$78.1K
Open
4 markets
Claims
0
  • Sep 15, 2026 · Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15?20.0%
  • Sep 30, 2026 · Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?46.0%
  • Oct 31, 2026 · Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?79.0%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?89.0%

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

GeopoliticsThreshold ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$76K
Open
10 markets
Claims
0
  • 200,000 · Will Trump deport less than 200k people?1.9%
  • 1,000,000 · Will Trump deport more than 1m people?1.6%
  • Will Trump deport 200-300k people?0.3%
  • Will Trump deport 300-400k people?16.5%
  • Will Trump deport 400-500k people?58.5%
and 5 more markets

Kamchatka Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner

GeopoliticsCandidate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$75.7K
Open
6 markets
Claims
0
  • United Russia · Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?96.7%
  • Party of Pensioners · Will Party of Pensioners win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?2.1%
  • A Just Russia · Will A Just Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?1.8%
  • LDPR · Will LDPR win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?1.7%
  • New People · Will New People win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?0.8%
and 1 more market

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?

GeopoliticsDate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$73.3K
Open
2 markets
Claims
0
  • Sep 30, 2026 · Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?79.0%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?92.5%

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

GeopoliticsDate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$73K
Open
3 markets
Claims
0
  • Sep 30, 2026 · Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?5.5%
  • Oct 31, 2026 · Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?14.5%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?29.0%

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

GeopoliticsDate ladder
Closes
Liquidity
$72.5K
Open
3 markets
Claims
0
  • Sep 30, 2026 · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?5.3%
  • Oct 31, 2026 · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?11.0%
  • Dec 31, 2027 · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?39.5%

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