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540 events

Next Senate Majority Leader?

PoliticsCloses 0 calls

  • John Thune · Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?42.5%
  • Chuck Schumer · Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?34.5%
  • Brian Schatz · Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?5.0%
  • Tom Cotton · Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?2.6%
  • Steve Daines · Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?1.1%
  • John Barrasso · Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?1.1%
+4 more

Paraná Governor Election Winner

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  • Sergio Moro · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?83.5%
  • Sandro Alex · Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election?17.0%
  • Requião Filho · Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?0.3%
  • Alexandre Curi · Will Alexandre Curi win the Governor of Paraná election?0.3%
  • Beto Richa · Will Beto Richa win the Governor of Paraná election?0.1%
  • Enio Verri · Will Enio Verri win the Governor of Paraná election?0.1%
+3 more

Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

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  • Eugenio Segura Vázquez · Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?69.5%
  • Rafael Marín Mollinedo · Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?12.3%
  • Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña · Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?9.0%
  • Estefanía Mercado Asencio · Will Estefanía Mercado Asencio win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?1.5%
  • José Luis Pech Várguez · Will José Luis Pech Várguez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?1.3%
  • Marybel Villegas Canché · Will Marybel Villegas Canché win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?1.1%
+10 more

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

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  • 1.25% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?0.8%
  • 1.5% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?0.4%
  • 1.75% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?0.3%
  • 2.0% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?0.3%
  • 2.25% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?0.4%
  • 2.5% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?0.5%
+9 more

San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner

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  • Ruth González Silva · Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?62.5%
  • Gerardo Sánchez Zumaya · Will Gerardo Sánchez Zumaya win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?7.0%
  • Aid Ávila Covarrubias · Will Aid Ávila Covarrubias win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?5.9%
  • Cuauhtli Fernando Badillo Moreno · Will Cuauhtli Fernando Badillo Moreno win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?5.2%
  • Josefina Salazar Báez · Will Josefina Salazar Báez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?4.8%
  • Carlos Arreola Mallol · Will Carlos Arreola Mallol win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?4.1%
+14 more

Quebec General Election Winner

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  • PQ · Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?72.0%
  • CAQ · Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?25.5%
  • PLQ · Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?3.2%
  • PCQ · Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?0.2%
  • PVQ · Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?0.1%
  • QS · Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?0.1%

Fed Decision in January?

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  • No change · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?60.5%
  • 25 bps increase · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?23.5%
  • 25 bps decrease · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?13.5%
  • 50+ bps decrease · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?3.8%
  • 50+ bps increase · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?2.2%

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place

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  • Green Party (MP) · Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?34.5%
  • Centre Party (C) · Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?30.5%
  • Christian Democrats (KD) · Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?24.0%
  • Left Party (V) · Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?13.0%
  • Liberals (L) · Will the Liberals (L) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0.4%
  • Sweden Democrats (SD) · Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0.4%
+4 more

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place

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  • Centre Party (C) · Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?32.5%
  • Left Party (V) · Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?29.0%
  • Green Party (MP) · Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?24.0%
  • Christian Democrats (KD) · Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?17.0%
  • Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) · Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0.3%
  • Moderate Party (M) · Will the Moderate Party (M) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0.2%
+3 more

Baja California Governor Election Winner

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  • Julieta Ramírez Padilla · Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?53.7%
  • Ismael Burgueño Ruiz · Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?9.5%
  • Gustavo Macalpin · Will Gustavo Macalpin win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?6.3%
  • Juan Carlos Hank · Will Juan Carlos Hank win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?4.6%
  • Armando Ayala Robles · Will Armando Ayala Robles win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?3.9%
  • Montserrat Caballero Ramírez · Will Montserrat Caballero Ramírez win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?3.1%
+15 more

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

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  • 180-199 · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?16.5%
  • 200-219 · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?16.5%
  • 160-179 · Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?13.5%
  • 220-239 · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?13.5%
  • 240-259 · Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?10.4%
  • 140-159 · Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?9.5%
+20 more

Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

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  • Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera · Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?39.6%
  • Alfonso Sánchez García · Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?28.0%
  • Floria María Hernández Hernández · Will Floria María Hernández Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?5.5%
  • Danae Figueroa · Will Danae Figueroa win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?1.3%
  • Concepción Sánchez González · Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?0.6%
  • Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano · Will Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?0.3%
+7 more

Next Regional Board Chair of Västra Götaland?

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  • My Alnebratt · Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?80.5%
  • Lars Holmin · Will Lars Holmin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?18.5%
  • Helen Eliasson · Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?1.8%
  • Jonas Andersson · Will Jonas Andersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?0.5%
  • Madeleine Jonsson · Will Madeleine Jonsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?0.4%
  • Carina Örgård · Will Carina Örgård be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?0.2%
+3 more

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

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  • Marília Campos · Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?62.0%
  • Aécio Neves · Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?34.6%
  • Carlos Viana · Will Carlos Viana win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?2.1%
  • Domingos Sávio · Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?2.1%
  • Áurea Carolina · Will Áurea Carolina win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?1.3%
  • Marcelo Heringer · Will Marcelo Heringer win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?1.0%
+12 more

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

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  • Tarcísio de Freitas · Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?98.5%
  • Fernando Haddad · Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?1.2%
  • Erika Hilton · Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?0.5%
  • Kim Kataguiri · Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?0.2%
  • Márcio França · Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?0.1%

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

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  • AS · Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?83.1%
  • SV · Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?7.1%
  • PRO · Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?3.5%
  • LPV · Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?3.3%
  • NA · Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?1.2%
  • JV · Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?0.3%
+3 more

Baja California Sur Governor Election Winner

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  • Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias · Will Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?29.5%
  • Manuel Cota Cárdenas · Will Manuel Cota Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?21.8%
  • Christian Agúndez Gómez · Will Christian Agúndez Gómez win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?15.5%
  • Milena Quiroga Romero · Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?12.5%
  • José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar · Will José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?6.5%
  • Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado · Will Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?5.5%
+10 more

Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?

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  • 5% · Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?0.6%
  • 9% · Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?15.0%
  • Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?29.0%
  • Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?53.0%

Sonora Governor Election Winner

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  • Lorenia Valles Sampedro · Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?49.5%
  • Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas · Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?14.4%
  • Javier Lamarque Cano · Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?13.0%
  • Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez · Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?11.9%
  • Patricia Mercado Castro · Will Patricia Mercado Castro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?10.3%
  • Natalia Rivera Grijalva · Will Natalia Rivera Grijalva win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?5.0%
+13 more

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

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  • PL · Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?82.5%
  • MDB · Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?7.8%
  • UNIÃO · Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?1.0%
  • PSD · Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?0.5%
  • NOVO · Will Partido Novo (NOVO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?0.3%
  • PP · Will Progressistas (PP) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?0.3%
+6 more

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

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  • PL · Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?88.5%
  • MDB · Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?3.5%
  • PP · Will Progressistas (PP) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?2.2%
  • PSD · Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?1.6%
  • UNIÃO · Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?1.1%
  • PDT · Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?1.1%
+6 more

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

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  • Below 190 · Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?22.5%
  • 195-199 · Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?14.0%
  • 190-194 · Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?13.0%
  • 200-204 · Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?12.2%
  • 205-209 · Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?11.5%
  • 210-214 · Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?10.3%
+4 more

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

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  • Texas · Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?79.5%
  • Michigan · Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?67.5%
  • Iowa · Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?60.5%
  • Ohio (Special) · Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?58.5%
  • South Carolina · Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?57.5%
  • Maine · Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?57.0%
+12 more

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

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  • Javier Milei · Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?50.5%
  • Axel Kicillof · Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?34.5%
  • Sergio Massa · Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?9.5%
  • Dante Gebel · Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?2.3%
  • Myriam Bregman · Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?2.3%
  • Juan Grabois · Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?0.9%
+5 more

Next Regional Board Chair of Stockholm?

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  • Aida Hadžialić · Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?99.3%
  • Axel Conradi · Will Axel Conradi be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?0.3%
  • Amelie Tarschys Ingre · Will Amelie Tarschys Ingre be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?0.2%
  • Anna Sehlin · Will Anna Sehlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?0.2%
  • Carl Johan Schiller · Will Carl Johan Schiller be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?0.2%
  • Charlotte Broberg · Will Charlotte Broberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?0.2%
+8 more

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

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  • Łukasz Gibała · Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?75.5%
  • Monika Piątkowska · Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?16.5%
  • Michał Drewnicki · Will Michał Drewnicki win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?5.5%
  • Rafał Komarewicz · Will Rafał Komarewicz win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?3.7%
  • Daria Gosek-Popiołek · Will Daria Gosek-Popiołek win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?2.2%
  • Aleksandra Owca · Will Aleksandra Owca win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?2.0%
+11 more

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

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  • SPD · Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?78.0%
  • AfD · Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?21.2%
  • BSW · Will BSW win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0.1%
  • CDU · Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0.1%
  • FDP · Will FDP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0.1%
  • FW · Will FW win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0.1%
+2 more

Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?

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  • Peter Olofsson · Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?87.5%
  • Nicklas Sandström · Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?5.5%
  • Anton Bergström Nord · Will Anton Bergström Nord be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?3.0%
  • Ewa-May Karlsson · Will Ewa-May Karlsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?2.5%
  • Hans-Inge Smetana · Will Hans-Inge Smetana be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?1.3%
  • Emma Lindqvist · Will Emma Lindqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?0.5%
+3 more

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

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  • Lula · Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?87.0%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?13.0%
  • Renan Santos · Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?0.6%
  • Ronaldo Caiado · Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?0.6%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury · Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?0.5%
  • Pablo Marçal · Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?0.2%
+7 more

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