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Events from Polymarket. Each one is a ladder: the tighter the step you commit to, the lower the price, and the more a correct call is worth.

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575 events

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $383.6K
Open: 71 markets
Claims: 0

J.D. Vance · Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?89.5%
Pete Buttigieg · Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?87.0%
Ted Cruz · Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?86.0%
Gavin Newsom · Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?82.0%
Ron DeSantis · Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028?80.5%

and 66 more markets →

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 30d
Liquidity: $378.2K
Open: 17 markets
Claims: 0

Cleitinho Azevedo · Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?84.2%
Alexandre Kalil · Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?3.4%
Gabriel Azevedo · Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?2.5%
Mateus Simões · Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?1.8%
Patrus Ananias · Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?1.8%

and 12 more markets →

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics

Closes: Nov 7, 2028
Liquidity: $352.5K
Open: 2 markets
Claims: 0

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?40.5%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?59.5%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

PoliticsThreshold ladder

Closes: in 30d
Liquidity: $352.5K
Open: 11 markets
Claims: 0

5 · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?44.5%
5 · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?6.5%
10 · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?2.5%
15 · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?3.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?39.0%

and 6 more markets →

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 30d
Liquidity: $327.8K
Open: 9 markets
Claims: 0

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?98.0%
Flavio Bolsonaro · Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?96.4%
Renan Santos · Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?2.5%
Ronaldo Caiado · Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.4%
Romeu Zema · Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.3%

and 4 more markets →

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Jun 6, 2027
Liquidity: $312.3K
Open: 22 markets
Claims: 0

Gladyz Butanda Macías · Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?34.0%
Grecia Quiroz · Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?31.3%
Carlos Torres Piña · Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?22.0%
Raúl Morón Orozco · Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?7.0%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano · Will Fabiola Alanís Sámano win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?6.0%

and 17 more markets →

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $305.4K
Open: 28 markets
Claims: 0

Ryan Salame · Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?24.5%
Donald Brodie · Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?22.5%
Stefan Brodie · Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?22.5%
Roger Stone · Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?21.5%
Matt Gaetz · Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?20.5%

and 23 more markets →

Campeche Governor Election Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Jun 6, 2027
Liquidity: $294.9K
Open: 26 markets
Claims: 0

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus · Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?88.0%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar · Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?6.0%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre · Will Biby Rabelo de la Torre win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?0.5%
Carlos Ucán Yam · Will Carlos Ucán Yam win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?0.5%
Daniel Barreda Pavón · Will Daniel Barreda Pavón win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?0.5%

and 21 more markets →

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 9d
Liquidity: $293.3K
Open: 9 markets
Claims: 0

Sweden Democrats (SD) · Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?77.0%
Moderate Party (M) · Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?20.5%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) · Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?1.9%
Centre Party (C) · Will the Centre Party (C) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0.1%
Christian Democrats (KD) · Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0.1%

and 4 more markets →

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 11d
Liquidity: $286K
Open: 24 markets
Claims: 0

BFP · Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?74.5%
UBJP · Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?23.0%
BGC · Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?1.4%
Election Postponed/Canceled · Will the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Election not take place by September 14, 2026?0.6%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY · Will Progresibong Bangsamoro Party (PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?0.5%

and 19 more markets →

Paraná Governor Election Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 31d
Liquidity: $280.7K
Open: 9 markets
Claims: 0

Sergio Moro · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?82.0%
Sandro Alex · Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election?17.0%
Alexandre Curi · Will Alexandre Curi win the Governor of Paraná election?0.3%
Requião Filho · Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?0.3%
Beto Richa · Will Beto Richa win the Governor of Paraná election?0.1%

and 4 more markets →

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Nov 7, 2026
Liquidity: $276.4K
Open: 18 markets
Claims: 0

National + ACT + NZF · Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?42.0%
Labour + Green · Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?20.7%
Labour + Green + Maori · Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?13.5%
Other · Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?9.3%
National + ACT · Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?3.7%

and 13 more markets →

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Jun 6, 2027
Liquidity: $271.8K
Open: 21 markets
Claims: 0

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas · Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?22.6%
Adrián de la Garza Santos · Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?20.0%
Waldo Fernández González · Will Waldo Fernández González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?18.9%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú · Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?18.7%
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez · Will Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?4.9%

and 16 more markets →

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 8d
Liquidity: $260.2K
Open: 26 markets
Claims: 0

180 199 · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?16.5%
200 219 · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?15.5%
160 179 · Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?13.5%
220 239 · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?13.5%
240 259 · Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?9.8%

and 21 more markets →

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Mar 31, 2028
Liquidity: $254.7K
Open: 16 markets
Claims: 0

Alberto Núñez Feijóo · Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?79.5%
Pedro Sánchez · Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?10.4%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso · Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?4.2%
Santiago Abascal · Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?4.0%
Miguel Tellado · Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?0.5%

and 11 more markets →

Fed Decision in January?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 27, 2027
Liquidity: $254.5K
Open: 5 markets
Claims: 0

No change · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?60.5%
25 bps increase · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?24.0%
25 bps decrease · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?14.0%
50+ bps decrease · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?3.7%
50+ bps increase · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?2.3%

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Liquidity: $254.3K
Open: 26 markets
Claims: 0

Anna Kelly · Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?27.5%
Scott Jennings · Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?19.6%
Rachel Campos-Duffy · Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?13.7%
Maria Bartiromo · Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?13.5%
Alina Habba · Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?6.0%

and 21 more markets →

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 16d
Liquidity: $251.8K
Open: 8 markets
Claims: 0

AfD · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?79.0%
SPD · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?20.5%
BSW · Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0.1%
CDU · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0.1%
FDP · Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0.1%

and 3 more markets →

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Nov 3, 2026
Liquidity: $251K
Open: 13 markets
Claims: 0

Democrats 8-10% · Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?27.5%
Democrats 6-8% · Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?23.0%
Democrats 10-12% · Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?21.5%
Democrats 4-6% · Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?10.5%
Democrats 12-14% · Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?6.2%

and 8 more markets →

Nayarit Governor Election Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Jun 6, 2027
Liquidity: $250.2K
Open: 22 markets
Claims: 0

Héctor Santana García · Will Héctor Santana García win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?24.4%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez · Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?11.8%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu · Will Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?11.1%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz · Will Ivonne Sabrina Díaz win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?4.7%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre · Will Gustavo Ayón Aguirre win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?3.4%

and 17 more markets →

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Nov 3, 2026
Liquidity: $246.6K
Open: 22 markets
Claims: 0

Florida · Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?98.4%
Texas · Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?98.3%
California · Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?97.3%
North Carolina · Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?96.2%
Ohio · Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?95.4%

and 17 more markets →

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Dec 9, 2026
Liquidity: $244.6K
Open: 15 markets
Claims: 0

4.0% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?40.4%
3.75% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?26.1%
4.25% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?19.1%
3.5% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?7.8%
≥ 4.5% · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?5.6%

and 10 more markets →

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 9d
Liquidity: $240.6K
Open: 9 markets
Claims: 0

Moderate Party (M) · Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?81.0%
Sweden Democrats (SD) · Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?19.0%
Green Party (MP) · Will the Green Party (MP) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0.1%
Centre Party (C) · Will the Centre Party (C) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0.1%
Christian Democrats (KD) · Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0.1%

and 4 more markets →

Next Senate Majority Leader?

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Jan 3, 2027
Liquidity: $239.1K
Open: 10 markets
Claims: 0

John Thune · Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?42.5%
Chuck Schumer · Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?34.5%
Brian Schatz · Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?4.9%
Tom Cotton · Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?2.6%
Patty Murray · Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?0.6%

and 5 more markets →

Next Premier of Quebec

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 31d
Liquidity: $236.4K
Open: 7 markets
Claims: 0

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon · Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?64.5%
Christine Fréchette · Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?31.0%
Charles Milliard · Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?4.0%
Bernard Drainville · Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0.1%
Ruba Ghazal · Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0.1%

and 2 more markets →

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Politics

Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $234K
Open: 1 market
Claims: 0

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3.5%

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 30d
Liquidity: $232.5K
Open: 15 markets
Claims: 0

PL · Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?57.0%
UPB · Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?40.1%
FE Brasil · Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?0.6%
MDB · Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?0.2%
Avante · Will Avante (Avante) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?0.1%

and 10 more markets →

Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Jun 6, 2027
Liquidity: $231.7K
Open: 16 markets
Claims: 0

Eugenio Segura Vázquez · Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?67.0%
Rafael Marín Mollinedo · Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?12.3%
Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña · Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?10.5%
Reyna Tamayo Carballo · Will Reyna Tamayo Carballo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?2.8%
José Luis Pech Várguez · Will José Luis Pech Várguez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?1.6%

and 11 more markets →

Colima Governor Election Winner

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: Jun 6, 2027
Liquidity: $227.6K
Open: 22 markets
Claims: 0

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera · Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?79.5%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez · Will Riult Rivera Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?5.5%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua · Will Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?5.5%
Sofía Peralta Ferro · Will Sofía Peralta Ferro win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?5.2%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora · Will Gricelda Valencia de la Mora win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?4.8%

and 17 more markets →

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

PoliticsCandidate ladder

Closes: in 2d
Liquidity: $223.4K
Open: 7 markets
Claims: 0

CDU · Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?99.4%
The Left · Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.4%
AfD · Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.3%
SPD · Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.1%
The Greens · Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.1%

and 2 more markets →

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